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Cross-market event pricing · listed share × on-chain synthetic perp × outcome market

New York closes. Price doesn't.

Catalysts don't keep office hours. Every minute the listed tape is dark, an on-chain synthetic perpetual is pricing it anyway. CatalystDesk pins one name's three prices — the share, the on-chain perp, the outcome market — to a single row: which moved first, how wide the gap, what open the odds imply. Every item carries a time-stamp and an 'as of' clock. It is decision support for a person, and it carries no trade instruction.

  • Double opt-in, with one-click unsubscribe in every e-mail.
  • No card required for the e-mail products.
  • All times on this site are US Eastern (ET).
Live Watchlist serviceUnconfirmed
SymbolSessionCatalystSignalan intraday issuea live-page rowa cross-market alert

Manifesto

Markets don't wait for you, and they don't wait for the bell. News lands on a Saturday, price trades on-chain, and Monday's gap is already written — most people just can't read it. We don't predict. We don't call trades. We never touch your money, your keys or your orders. We do one thing: pin one name's price across three markets and let the time-stamps talk — how wide, who moved first, how many seconds are left. Those who can see it move first. Those who can't are the liquidity.

The cross-market layer

One name. Three prices. One row.

We wait for nobody's permission and need none: a public on-chain book is indexed the moment it appears, bound by name and verified by price — a binding that fails the check never emits an alert. Below are the three quantities this layer reads and the one session it adds. The page gives names and readings, never the arithmetic; everything is an algorithm's measurement of public data, not a trade instruction.

The share

The US-listed share: its premarket, regular and after-hours prints, and the last extended-hours print while the tape is dark.

The synthetic perp

A permissionlessly deployed synthetic perpetual that trades around the clock: mark, oracle, funding and book depth. It is not a share and carries no shareholder right.

The outcome market

Binary markets struck on price levels. Their odds are the probability the crowd has written on the next open.

Basis Dislocation Alpha · BDA

How far the on-chain perp sits from the equity reference — measured on the side of the book that can actually be crossed, net of signed funding and of round-trip cost. When nothing survives cost, the cell is blank.

Oracle Latency Exploitation · OLE

The window, after the share jumps, in which the on-chain oracle and book have not caught up — and how far behind the book is inside it. When the window closes the reading goes to zero.

Prediction Implied Gap · PIG

The ladder of binary odds backed out into one implied forward and set against the last close: the gap the crowd has already written for the next open. Thin or wide books leave the cell blank.

The fifth session: Off-Market Synthetic

Beyond premarket, opening, regular and closing lies every hour the listed tape is dark while the chain keeps trading. It is not one regime: in the post-close echo an after-hours print still anchors the read; in the overnight and weekend voids the equity reference is an anchor whose confidence decays with time, and the on-chain book is the only price; at the handoff the premarket tape returns and the anchor is re-based. A thin book raises the bar for any trigger, and a void book produces none. All times are US Eastern (ET).

  • Post-close echo
  • Overnight void
  • Weekend void
  • Holiday void
  • Handoff
  • ARBThe basis clears cost, is statistically extreme for its session, the book is deep enough, and the share can be traded right now.
  • DISLOCThe same dislocation while the share is dark: that is not an arbitrage, it is an exposure with no hedge leg, and the label says so.
  • ORACLEA latency window is open and the book has not caught up.
  • WATCHStatistically extreme, but still inside cost.

Public tape · ten minutes delayed

    The public tape is empty right now. The realtime tape ships with Pro Lite and Desk Alpha.

    This page offers no redirect and places no order; it names no venue, deployer or oracle and is the agent or affiliate of none. On-chain derivatives are restricted in some jurisdictions; whether you may use them is yours to determine.

    The foundation · four objects

    One record: a paragraph in the e-mail, a row on the page, a line on the tape.

    Four objects define everything on all three surfaces. It is not three products sharing a brand; it is three surfaces sharing one set of books. What follows are the property names you will actually see in the product — not the arithmetic behind them.

    • The Trinity (Symbol)A US-listed equity together with its on-chain synthetic perpetual and its outcome markets — three prices of one object. Carries last, gap, relative volume, its relationship to VWAP, and the on-chain premium.
    • The Fifth Session (Session)Premarket, opening, regular, closing — and Off-Market Synthetic, every hour the share is dark while the chain trades. The same name is read differently in each.
    • The Trigger (Catalyst)The event that makes this name different today: a regulatory filing, a headline, a price jump. Carries a class, a grade and a provenance, and a plain-language read.
    • The Read (Signal)An observable read derived from the three above: setups, basis dislocation, implied gap. It is a reading, never a trade instruction.
    • Symbol —carries→ Catalyst
    • Symbol —in→ Session —shows→ Signal
    • Symbol —moves with→ Sympathy peers
    • Catalyst —resembles→ Past sessions
    • Symbol —maps to→ Synthetic perp —implies→ Opening gap
    Premarket BriefEvent RadarLive Watchlist
    Symbolan entry in the float-tiered gap screena ranked candidatea row, plus a per-symbol detail panel
    Sessionthe pre-open snapshot of the sessiona session-phase-aware setup taxonomythe session label, and imbalance columns that populate in auction windows only
    Catalystreference facts for names with overnight catalyststhe catalyst-class chip and an AI-assisted plain-language deep readthe context in which this row is being watched today
    Signalreference facts such as gap-fill tendenciesthe setup taxonomy and the conviction matrixcolumns such as Trend, Reversion, T15 Ride, Gap Lean and Playbook

    Four surfaces

    Four surfaces, one set of objects, one catalyst taxonomy, one clock.

    The name you read in the brief before the open is the same object in the intraday issue, the same row on the live page and the same line on the cross-market tape. Upgrading is not another product; it opens one more surface onto the same system.

    Event Radar

    Event Radar

    E-mail · issued during US market hours · from a minute-cadence scan, so the number of issues varies with the day

    E-mail issues during US market hours, from a minute-cadence scan across US equities: ranked candidates with a catalyst-class chip, a session-phase-aware setup taxonomy, an options context block and an AI-assisted plain-language deep read — each issue with an 'as of' clock and one-click unsubscribe.

    See the detail

    Premarket Brief

    Premarket Brief

    E-mail · once every trading day · delivered roughly 08:45–09:10 ET, before the open

    One e-mail every trading day before the open, delivered roughly between 08:45 and 09:10 ET: market-wide and S&P 500 gap and regime context, a float-tiered gap screen, and reference facts for names with overnight catalysts.

    See the detail

    Live WatchlistPro

    Live Watchlist

    Web page · updates about once per second during the session · imbalance columns populate in auction windows only

    A web page that updates about once per second during the session, mirroring the desk's own watchlist: ranked symbols, a per-symbol detail panel and bilingual labels. Sign-in by e-mail code; access is granted per account and sessions are per account.

    See the detail

    Cross-Market TapeLite

    Cross-Market Tape

    This site and a messenger tape · around the clock · ten minutes delayed on Free, realtime from Pro Lite

    Dislocation alerts across the share, the on-chain synthetic perp and the outcome market: trigger state, basis dislocation, implied gap, session and liquidity labels. Once the messenger bot opens, a community owner can carry the same tape into their own group under their own brand.

    See the detail

    Data, method and cadence

    We publish the part you can check yourself: the delivery cadence.

    Data: consolidated real-time US equities and options market data from institutional-grade feeds, updated continuously through the session. Method: a proprietary catalyst ontology and regime models, with AI-assisted plain-language reads of filings and news. The table below is a verifiable service-level statement — what form, how often, in which window.

    Data

    Consolidated real-time US equities and options data from institutional-grade feeds; pages and e-mails carry an as-of clock, and on the Live Watchlist the Data status column labels delayed or stale data.

    Method

    A proprietary catalyst ontology and regime models do the ranking and classification; AI-assisted reads explain in plain language and never decide for you.

    • This page publishes no win rate, no returns and no user count.
    • Decision support for a person; it carries no trade instruction.
    • All times on this site are US Eastern (ET).
    SurfaceForm · cadence · session
    Premarket BriefE-mail · once every trading day · delivered roughly 08:45–09:10 ET, before the open
    Event RadarE-mail · issued during US market hours · from a minute-cadence scan, so the number of issues varies with the day
    Live WatchlistWeb page · updates about once per second during the session · imbalance columns populate in auction windows only
    Subscription mechanicsDouble opt-in · one-click unsubscribe in every e-mail · sent from alerts@catalystdesk.ai (worth adding to your contacts)
    The three states of the service strip
    • OKThe Live Watchlist service is reachable right now. An account is still required to open the page.
    • Not OKThe service explicitly reports that it is unavailable. If it persists, write to alerts@catalystdesk.ai.
    • UnconfirmedThis page cannot get a definite answer right now — before the first result returns, on a timeout, or when the local network blocks the check. It is not a verdict of failure.
    • One question onlyThis strip shows service reachability only. It says nothing about the freshness of any individual symbol — delayed or stale data is labelled on the page itself, in the Data status column.

    Anatomy of the two e-mails

    What one intraday issue contains — and what the pre-open one is not.

    The figure is a wireframe, not a screenshot: no real issue, no real numbers, and no internal threshold, parameter or window length appears anywhere on this page. Candidates are ranked by the desk's read; the order is a reading aid, not a priority instruction.

    1. 01 Ranked candidatesThe day's candidates, ranked by the desk's read, each as its own block.
    2. 02 Catalyst-class chipOne chip that says why this name is different today.
    3. 03 Session-phase-aware setup taxonomyPremarket, opening, regular and closing each carry their own taxonomy; they are not interchangeable.
    4. 04 Gap and range contextWhere the name sits today, read against its own range.
    5. 05 Relative-volume contextToday's participation, relative to this name's own normal.
    6. 06 Intraday sparklineA small line that carries the shape. It does not replace a charting tool.
    7. 07 Conviction matrixDimensions shown side by side, deliberately not collapsed into a single score.
    8. 08 Options contextImplied move, put/call posture, unusual activity, gamma clusters.
    9. 09 Sympathy peersNames that may move alongside the same catalyst.
    10. 10 Historical analoguesComparable situations from past sessions, offered for comparison, not for extrapolation.
    11. 11 Macro tape and sector heatmapThe environment the rest of the issue sits inside.
    12. 12 What is different from yesterday · deep read · time-stamp and unsubscribeThe shortest block in the issue and the one to read first; then an AI-assisted plain-language read of filings and news; every issue closes with an 'as of' clock and a one-click unsubscribe link, always in the same place.
    • Premarket Brief · delivery windowOne e-mail every trading day, delivered roughly between 08:45 and 09:10 ET — before the open.
    • Premarket Brief · contentsMarket-wide and S&P 500 gap and regime context; a float-tiered gap screen; and reference facts for names with overnight catalysts — gap tier, short-interest context and gap-fill tendencies.
    • Premarket Brief · scopeWhat lands before the open is reference facts — not the day's candidate list, and not a trade instruction. After the open, Event Radar takes over.

    Live Watchlist · the column dictionary

    Every column on the page is named here. None of the arithmetic behind them is.

    It updates about once per second during the session and mirrors the desk's own watchlist. Sign-in is by e-mail code, access is granted per account, and sessions are per account. The Data status column labels delayed or stale data explicitly. What each column means is explained inside the product after sign-in — this page publishes no formula, threshold, parameter or window length. That is policy, not an omission.

    Schematic only, not live data

    • Synth Trigger
    • Synth Premium
    • BDA
    • Implied Gap
    • Catalyst Grade
    • Funding APR
    • Synth Liquidity
    • Perp
    • Data status
    • Volume Rate
    • % Gap
    • Last
    • % Vol Change
    • Volume
    • VWAP
    • EMA fast / slow
    • TSMA
    • Px-VWAP
    • Heat
    • Imbalance % Vol
    • Net Imbalance
    • Vol Regime
    • Idio Gap
    • Reversion
    • Trend
    • Tape
    • T15 Ride
    • Playbook
    • Gap Lean
    • RVOL PM
    • FT%
    • Close Watch

    Columns marked ✱ populate in auction windows only.

    Keyboard-first: / search · J K rows · Space opens the attribution drawer · Enter copies the on-chain contract id | per-symbol detail panel · bilingual column labels · sign-in by e-mail code · sessions are per account

    Boundaries

    Who it fits, and what it explicitly does not do.

    The boundary is stated in the body rather than left to the footer, because readers often arrive mid-page from an anchor. The lines below are product claims and disclaimers at the same time.

    For

    • Active US-equity intraday traders who make their own calls and want the day's structure organised.
    • Small desks of two or three who need one shared, time-stamped vocabulary.
    • Bilingual teams: the Live Watchlist and this site ship Simplified Chinese and English side by side; the e-mails are Chinese-first with market terms kept in English.

    What it does not do

    • No trade instructionsNothing on any surface tells you to buy, sell or hold.
    • No executionNo account connection, no order placement, no money management, and no personalised investment advice.
    • Three red linesWe touch no private key, hold no funds and match no orders. Any on-chain action is signed in your own wallet and goes straight to the protocol; we are never in between.
    • No internal parametersNo threshold, parameter, window length, weight or formula is published.
    • No performance figuresNo performance, win-rate, return or user-count figure, and no testimonials.

    Nothing on any surface is a trade instruction; it is decision support for a person. If that boundary suits you, here are the three tiers.

    The wallet-unlock channel is being commissioned and is not open yet. What follows describes how it will work once it opens; you can register by e-mail now and we will notify you, in order of registration, the day it does.

    Pricing

    Two tiers today: the e-mails and the delayed tape are free and the full terminal is arranged by e-mail; the on-chain view will unlock by wallet once that channel opens.

    The on-chain view (Pro Lite) carries no monthly subscription and will unlock by connecting your own wallet — that channel is being commissioned and is not open yet; you can register by e-mail now. Once it opens: you make a one-time approval of a very small builder fee to the desk's on-chain channel, charged by the venue only when you actually route an order through it; the realtime on-chain view then stays free for that address for as long as the approval stands, and if you never trade you pay nothing. The full Desk Alpha terminal carries licensed third-party market data and is arranged per seat by e-mail. We touch no private key, hold no funds and match no orders.

    Free

    $0 · No card required

    • Event Radar: e-mail issues during US market hours, from a minute-cadence scan of US equities.
    • Premarket Brief: one e-mail every trading day before the open, roughly 08:45–09:10 ET.
    • The public cross-market tape: ten minutes delayed, on this site's front page; the messenger bot opens next.
    • Both products in full — not an abridged version of anything.
    • Every issue carries time-stamps and an 'as of' clock.
    • Double opt-in; one-click unsubscribe in every e-mail, effective immediately.

    Pro Lite

    Free with a wallet / tiny channel fee

    • Everything in Free, plus:
    • The realtime cross-market tape and the on-chain view of the Live Watchlist: synth trigger, synth premium, BDA, implied gap, funding, liquidity and the attribution drawer. This view carries no listed-equity market-data field.
    • Not open yet. Once it opens: connect your own wallet → make a one-time approval of the desk's on-chain builder fee → the address unlocks. Register by e-mail meanwhile.
    • The channel opens by jurisdiction and is not offered in restricted ones; whether you use on-chain derivatives is yours to determine.
    • Keyboard-first operation and bilingual labels.

    Desk Alpha (Pro)

    By e-mail

    $99 / month · $890 / year

    • Everything in Free, plus:
    • Live Watchlist access: a web page updating about once per second during the session, mirroring the desk's own watchlist.
    • The Live Watchlist carries every cross-market column beside the listed-equity columns, on the same row.
    • Optional Desk Alpha API: signed realtime webhook push and dedicated radar rules, $199 a month (Desk Alpha included), arranged by e-mail.
    • Ranked symbols and a per-symbol detail panel, with bilingual interface labels.
    • The Data status column labels delayed and stale data explicitly.
    • Auction-window imbalance columns (Imbalance % Vol, Net Imbalance).
    • Sign-in by e-mail code; access granted per account, sessions per account.
    • Includes licensed third-party market data; priced and arranged per non-professional / professional seat by e-mail, with no fiat hosted checkout.

    Cancelling: for Free, use the unsubscribe link in any e-mail, effective immediately; Desk Alpha seats, pricing and cancellation are agreed by e-mail. Once the on-chain view (Pro Lite) opens it will be driven by an on-chain approval you can revoke in your own wallet at any time, after which the address loses the on-chain view at its next check; the channel fee is charged by the venue on your own fills — we never charge your card — so there is no payment to us to refund. Prices are in USD.

    How unlocking will work once it opens

    1. 01On the Live Watchlist page click “Connect Wallet to Unlock” and connect your own wallet (MetaMask / Rabby …). We read only your public address and never touch a private key.
    2. 02In your wallet, sign a plain-text message to prove the address is yours (no transfer, no order) and make the one-time approval of the desk's on-chain builder fee. Both happen in your wallet and go straight to the decentralised exchange.
    3. 03Once the desk reads the public on-chain approval and confirms it, the address unlocks the realtime on-chain view immediately, with a per-address session. Only trades routed through the channel then incur the tiny fee; no trades, no fee.

    FAQ

    What do I get, and how often?

    Free covers two e-mail products. The Premarket Brief: one e-mail every trading day before the open, delivered roughly between 08:45 and 09:10 ET. Event Radar: e-mail issues during US market hours, from a minute-cadence scan; how many arrive depends on the day, and there is no fixed quota. Pro adds the Live Watchlist web page, which updates about once per second during the session.

    What is the fifth session?

    Every hour the listed share is dark while its on-chain synthetic perpetual keeps trading: the post-close echo, the overnight, weekend and holiday voids, and the handoff when the premarket tape returns. In that time the equity reference is an anchor whose confidence decays, and every reading labels which anchor it used and how confident it is; a thin book raises the bar for a trigger and a void book produces none. All times are US Eastern (ET).

    What is your relationship with on-chain venues, deployers or outcome markets?

    None. We index public data. We are not the agent, affiliate or partner of any venue, deployer, oracle or market, and none endorses us; we operate, list, deploy and settle no market. We touch no private key, hold no funds and match no orders. If you choose the optional on-chain channel, orders are signed in your own wallet and go straight to the protocol; the protocol may then pay us a channel fee you approve yourself and a referral share — shown before you sign, and set out under the compensation disclosure in the Disclaimer.

    How does Trade to Unlock work?

    (The channel is not open yet — this is how it will work once it is; you can register by e-mail meanwhile.) It is one on-chain approval — not a subscription and not a volume hurdle. In your own wallet you sign a plain-text message proving the address is yours (no transfer, no order) and approve a small builder fee for the desk's on-chain channel; once the desk reads that approval from the public on-chain record, the address unlocks the realtime on-chain view. The venue charges the fee, at the rate you approved, only on orders you actually fill through the channel — if you never trade you pay nothing, and we never charge a card. The desk re-confirms the approval periodically; you can revoke it in your wallet at any time, and the address then loses the on-chain view at its next check. The channel opens by jurisdiction and is not offered in restricted ones.

    I run a community. How do I carry the tape into my own group?

    The bot is opening in batches; write to alerts@catalystdesk.ai to be early. Once it is open: add the messenger bot as an administrator of your group, send one bind command and confirm the terms, and the delayed tape starts; every alert carries your brand and your own referral link, and the referral revenue from that link is entirely yours — we take none of it. When enough members of the group hold paid seats, the whole group moves to the realtime tape. The link is supplied by you and is your responsibility, and your community must not be directed at persons in restricted jurisdictions.

    I am in the United States or another restricted jurisdiction. What can I use?

    The e-mails, the Live Watchlist and the cross-market tape are a publication and a data display, and you may subscribe as usual. The optional on-chain channel is not offered to persons in the United States, mainland China or any other jurisdiction that restricts such products, so Trade to Unlock does not apply either; we do not help anyone circumvent a venue's or a regulator's restrictions.

    Is this investment advice?

    No. Everything on all three surfaces is human decision support — market information and analysis. We issue no trade instruction, we do not connect to brokerage accounts, we place no orders, and we do not assess anyone's circumstances or give personalised advice. Every decision, order and outcome remains the user's own.

    Where does the data come from, and why don't you name the sources?

    Consolidated real-time US equities and options market data from institutional-grade feeds, updated continuously through the session. We do not name any market-data feed, news source, broker or model provider — that is how we treat supplier relationships generally, and it says nothing about data quality. The way to judge the data is to look at the page: every surface is time-stamped and carries an 'as of' clock, and on the Live Watchlist the Data status column labels delayed or stale data.

    Why aren't thresholds, parameters or formulas published?

    The catalyst ontology and the regime models are our own work, and publishing their arithmetic would degrade it. We state this as explicit policy rather than leaving it vague: the marketing pages carry names and artefacts only — catalyst classes, setup taxonomies, column names. No formula, threshold, window length or weight appears on them. What each column means is explained inside the product after sign-in.

    What happens when data is delayed or interrupted?

    The Live Watchlist labels affected rows as delayed or stale — that is what the Data status column is for — and the content of an e-mail carries its own time-stamps, so you can always tell when a reading was taken. The service-status strip on this page answers one question only: whether the Live Watchlist service is reachable right now — reachable, explicitly unavailable, or unconfirmed from here. It says nothing about the freshness of any individual symbol.

    How do I get the Live Watchlist?

    (The channel is not open yet — this is how it will work once it is; you can register by e-mail meanwhile.) On the Live Watchlist page click “Connect Wallet to Unlock”, connect your own wallet, sign to prove the address is yours and make the one-time approval of the desk's on-chain builder fee; once the desk reads the public on-chain approval it unlocks the realtime on-chain view for that address. No trades, no fee. The full Desk Alpha terminal (with licensed data) is arranged by e-mail to alerts@catalystdesk.ai.

    What do the tiers cost?

    (The channel is not open yet — this is how it will work once it is; you can register by e-mail meanwhile.) Free is $0. The on-chain view (Pro Lite) unlocks free with a wallet — you pay only a tiny builder fee to the venue on fills routed through the desk's channel, and we never charge your card; no trades means no cost at all. The full Desk Alpha terminal carries licensed third-party data and is quoted per seat by e-mail (non-professional $99 / month, $890 / year; professional seats on request). Prices are in USD.

    How do I cancel, and are there refunds?

    (The channel is not open yet — this is how it will work once it is; you can register by e-mail meanwhile.) Free: click the unsubscribe link in any e-mail, effective immediately. On-chain view (Pro Lite): revoke the builder-fee approval in your own wallet — the address loses the on-chain view at its next check; we never charge your card, so there is no payment to us to refund. Desk Alpha: write to alerts@catalystdesk.ai.

    Is Free just a cut-down Pro?

    No. Free is two complete e-mail products — nothing is downgraded and no second-class data is substituted. The difference between the tiers is the form of delivery: Free gets the e-mails, Pro adds the live web page.

    I'm not in the US Eastern zone — and will the e-mails land in spam?

    Every time on this site and in the products is US Eastern (ET) and is written with the ET suffix, so it converts cleanly. We send from alerts@catalystdesk.ai; adding it to your contacts helps. Subscription is double opt-in: you first receive a confirmation e-mail and the subscription starts only when you click the link inside it — a step that also helps later deliverability.

    Is it bilingual, do I need to install anything, and can a team share one account?

    The Live Watchlist and this site ship Simplified Chinese above English — column labels, the detail panel and this page; the e-mails are Chinese-first with standard market terms (VWAP, TSMA, RVOL and the like) kept in English. It runs in the browser with nothing to install. Access is granted per account and sessions are per account, so teams should request one seat per person.

    Will you publish performance or win rates?

    No. The product issues no trade instructions, so there are no outcomes to attribute to it; any win-rate or return figure would contradict that. What we can offer instead are verifiable facts — delivery cadence, time-stamping and status labelling — all stated on this page so you can check them yourself.

    Subscribe free